by Mitch Ratcliffe
If Jeff Sessions gets confirmed as Attorney General this week, he’ll likely move to kill off legal cannabis. That won’t be difficult — it’s just a signature. But he probably won’t see this coming …
aNewDomain — How do you kill the fastest growing sector in American business history?
If you’re Sen. Jeff Sessions (R-Al), Donald Trump’s pick for Attorney General, there are two answers: Happily. And easily.
This is the same politician who, at an April 2016 drug caucus, told senators, “Good people don’t smoke marijuana.
Work out the logic as a positive statement. He’s saying
that millions of Americans who buy and use cannabis in the 26 US states
that allow it are bad.
So, if Sessions is confirmed as Attorney General in the
Senate confirmation hearings scheduled for today and tomorrow, will he
cut the legalization movement off at the knees? Will he kill off legal
cannabis altogether?”
All indications say yes. He will.
Ignore the starry-eyed optimists who say it can’t happen.
Yes, legal cannabis sales totaled $6.7 billion last year.
And yes, all the social indicators seem to indicate that cannabis
is headed in the right direction. Traffic fatalities are down, teen
cannabis use is down, and alcohol-related violence is down — and tax
revenues for states that have legalized weed are way, way up.
None of that will matter to Sessions.
Sessions, after all, isn’t Trump. He’s not driven by shiny
things like money or profits like Trump.
And given his record, he’s not likely to be swung by statistics, crime rates or science, either.
And given his record, he’s not likely to be swung by statistics, crime rates or science, either.
Especially not science.
For Sessions, this is a moral issue, a crusade. And he’s been on its front lines for years.
In a recent memo to California dispensary owners that was
leaked to the press, Sessions even suggested in writing that, if
confirmed as Attorney General, he’d be likely to exercise his moral
obligation to close them down — even raid them if he has to.
And it would be so easy for him to do, too.
Provided Trump doesn’t micromanage him in his new role,
all Sessions will need is a couple of minutes and a pen to sign away the
Cole Memorandum. That flimsy document is the only piece of paper that
has ever stood between states’ rights to legislate cannabis and a
full-out re-criminalization.
Cannabis is still illegal federally, remember. It’s classified it as a Schedule I drug, same as heroin.
As AG, Sessions will have the DEA, DOJ and the FBI at his disposal.
And there appears to be little the legal weed biz can do
about it. Which makes you wonder: If the cannabis sector can’t save
itself, can someone else step in?
And who would that be?
Trump? Unlikely. He’ll leave
Sessions alone. He’s been a fiercely loyal Trump supporter and has stood
with him on most, if not all, hard-line issues, including immigration,
which is the big one.
Is there another savior out there?
Maybe. Let’s drill down.
Could Sessions be convinced?
If cannabis business leaders want to
convert the newly confirmed Attorney General to their side, they
shouldn’t even bother focusing on the success of the booming new
marijuana industry.
Rather, they should focus on the old-timey, common sense lessons another Prohibition taught us nearly a century ago.
During 1920s Prohibition years, you know,
organized crime and alcoholism skyrocketed hand in hand. Similarly, in
states like Washington and Colorado, where legal recreational cannabis
is booming, officials do report less crime, safer quality products and some juicy state tax revenues.
Again, Sessions won’t be easily swung by such arguments,
if at all. So far he’s steadfastly refused to believe even the most
rigorous longitudinal studies into the matter, which contradict his
oft-stated narrative that cannabis is a gateway drug.
Here’s what he said at a senate hearing about Colorado’s move to legalize cannabis a couple years back:
Legal cannabis, he said, “reverses 20 years of hostility to drugs, which really began when Nancy Reagan’s started the ‘just say no’ program’ in the 1980s. That was a great, great accomplishment. Watch this video capturing Sessions’ testimony at an April 2016 Senate drug caucus on the matter.
Legal cannabis, he said, “reverses 20 years of hostility to drugs, which really began when Nancy Reagan’s started the ‘just say no’ program’ in the 1980s. That was a great, great accomplishment. Watch this video capturing Sessions’ testimony at an April 2016 Senate drug caucus on the matter.
He’s a zealot.
Sessions went on to say that, thanks to the War on Drugs
and Reagan’s Just Say No initiative, “we were able to move this country
from 50 percent of high school seniors using marijuana or other drugs to
less than half that.
“Lives were saved,” Sessions added. “Young people’s
futures were saved. And if we go back to that path, we are going to
regret it.”
And wrapped up that preaching with this:“I can’t tell you how concerning it is for me, emotionally and personally, to see the possibility that we would reverse the progress we’ve made with (the War on Drugs) and just let it slip away from us. Lives will be impacted, families will be broken up, children will be damaged because of the differences their parents have … because of marijuana. And people may be psychologically impacted for the rest of their lives … with marijuana.”
But what about states rights?
Here lies what may turn out to be legal weed’s only hope.
Remember that Sessions’ comment about Americans who smoke
or use cannabis not being good?
That now applies to more than half the population.
That now applies to more than half the population.
You would think that might give Sessions or those who will hold sway over him, like Trump, great pause.
But since the Nov. 2016 presidential election, we’ve come a long way backwards, baby.
In its wake, conservative lawmakers as
well as Trump’s mostly extreme-right cabinet appointees have made it
clear they have no trouble legislating policy for the entire country,
based on their own ideas of morality.
But wait: Isn’t forcing federal law down on states rights
violate a major pillar of what the Grand Old Party historically stood
for?
You bet.
Civil War today, Big Cannabis tomorrow?
For generations, the Party of Lincoln
has championed the idea, often carried to extremes in anti-Civil Rights
strategies, about states’ rights to set policy for the citizens who live
there.
That idea was crystallized by former
Confederate general Joseph Wheeler back in 1894 in a speech he gave
called: “Slavery and States’ Rights.” The
concept of independent state governments has been abused for so long
that many in the political center and left have completely abandoned the
concept, never giving it a look.
In the Trump Era, they may be turning
back to claim the right to legislate their own destinies, especially
regarding the legal cannabis issue.
The question is whether the new, self-styled authoritarians and moralists in Washington will let them.
Fifty laboratories in democracy
Ascendant Republican leaders considering
sanctuary cities, environmental law and cannabis legalization are ready
to abandon the “50 laboratories in democracy,” as Supreme Court Justice
Louis Brandeis poetically described the local freedom to legislate back
in 1929.
The state of California is going so far as to hire former Attorney General Eric Holder
to lobby and litigate to protect its laws against Trump rollbacks in
environmental regulation, civil rights and its recently passed marijuana
legalization.
With Sessions prepared to make criminals
of pot smokers, growers and retailers, again, the states are the logical
place to make a stand.
Look
at the map of users by state (at right, click to enlarge) shows that
the nation is divided on marijuana along the same geographic boundaries
as the urban-rural/Democrat-Republican split.
Imagine how many of these states would swing the other way if the Feds decided to take away everyone’s pot?
The doomsday scenario
In the freshly painted black and white world that Trump’s
ascendancy has returned us to, there’s an alternative and perhaps more
likely outcome for legal cannabis, which I’ll call the Doomsday
Scenario.
In it, Sessions gets confirmed, follows his outdated data
and stubborn moral judgements about legal cannabis and gets rid of the
Cole Menu pretty much the minute he hangs up his office door plaque.
And again, because cannabis already is classified as a
dangerous, Schedule I substance, like heroin, he doesn’t need to get a
law passed or anything signed, sealed or approved to start going after
sellers, growers, buyers and users right away, no matter where they are.
But the great irony here, returning to
the states rights issue, is that Republican control in this scenario
would end up jumpstarting extensive federalization of life and laws
It’s also true that Cannabis advocates have a broad range
of potential partners across the political spectrum among people who
want to minimize federal control of decisions they prefer to make
themselves. Plenty of Trump supporters, too, love their weed. They also,
presumably, will not love losing their ACA state healthcare once they
figure out it is the same as the demonized Obamacare that whole side
loves to attack.
And now a plan to save legal weed begins to take form …
And “deplorables” love their weed, don’t they?
Unclear.
But this much is true: Almost as many states that have legalized marijuana in some form voted to ratify the 18th Amendment back in 1919.
For cannabis, the momentum among voters
goes the other way, strongly in support of ending prohibition. Florida, a
state that went to Trump, passed its legal cannabis measure by more
than 70 percent.
It’s a trend we’re seeing all over America. By and large, red states are just as green — or greener — than the blue ones.
Though the authoritarian government about
to come to power doesn’t cede it to women, Americans across gender,
race, religion and income lines for sure have come to realize that their
neighbors can make their own decisions about what they use for their
health and entertainment.
Also: Marijuana is used by patients
treating pain, which is the third most expensive reason for medical
spending among Americans. That desire for the pain relief and other
palliative effects that cannabis seems to provide is sure to grow as the
Baby Boomers, and the Xers behind them, continue to age and fall victim
to cancer, MS, Parkinson’s Disease and other illnesses.
Americans support for and use of recreational cannabis use is swelling, too.As many as 44 percent of Americans have tried marijuana, according to a 2016 Gallup poll.
Should Sessions or any other AG, for that matter, choose to suspend the Cole Memo and re-criminalize cannabis in all states, the narrow margin of victory that Trump enjoyed in 2016 could easily vanish in 2020.
That’s 35 million people who, even if they didn’t vote last year, will be motivated to vote in the future.
And
here’s another nasty side effect the Trump administration could
experience should the new AG decide to suspend Cole and go after “the
not good people,” as Sessions calls cannabis buyers, sellers, patients
and recreational users.
And that is: What will Jeff Sessions do with them all? Jailing thousands or tens of thousands of cannabis growers, sellers and buyers is one thing.
But what if a fat chunk of the 35 million
Americans who like legal weed choose to say hell no, we won’t go, or
something like it.
In Jeff Sessions’ home state, Alabama,
fines anyone found with marijuana $6,000 and can send them to prison for
a year. Sellers face two to 20 years in prison, as to growers.
If these were used as templates for US
law, thousands of prisons would need to open across the country to house
people who, in many cases, are treating their ills with pot. Today’s
total incarcerated population, 2.2 million, is largely the result of
the War on Drugs, which Sessions heralds as one of the greatest
Washington-backed efforts in his lifetime.
But it would be 15 times higher if marijuana were re-criminalized and federal laws enforced.
An end to prohibition
The nation cannot jail its way to a
consensus on drug use. In the face of the heroin/opiates epidemic, there
are far more pressing issues to pursue than pot, a substance used by
millions and responsible for no deaths from overdose, the cannabis
industry is well positioned to support legalization.
That’s why, even if they would rather not
get their hands dirty in a nasty battle with the feds, states will
likely be the ones to fight Sessions and any other AG that tries to get
in the way of the coming end of prohibition for cannabis and the rights
of states to legislate as they see fit in the means.
That will be a bizarre and surprising turn of the tables on conservative dedication to states rights.
If Sessions is confirmed and does what he has indicated
for years and years in public statements and hearings he is wont to do,
there will be one hell of a rebellion rising.
Back in 1986, when he was still Alabama AG, Sessions infamously joked: “The “Ku Klux Klan was OK till I found out they smoked pot.”
And all I can say after that is that Sessions and all moralist legal weed destroyers in Washington had better get ready.
This fight is going to get way nastier than they bargain for.
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