Thursday 7 January 2016

Tasha Kheiriddin: Trudeau can deny it all he wants, but the major impact of marijuana legalization will be financial

Tasha Kheiriddin


A man smokes a joint at the Fill the Hill marijuana rally on Parliament Hill in Ottawa on Sunday, April 20, 2014.
THE CANADIAN PRESS / Justin TangA man smokes a joint at the Fill the Hill marijuana rally on Parliament Hill in Ottawa on Sunday, April 20, 2014. 
 
Will Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s promise to legalize pot go up in smoke, or will he turn into an activist and try to convince other countries to liberalize their drug laws, as well? That’s the choice he faces, if he doesn’t want Canada to run afoul of its international obligations.

A government briefing note, obtained this week by the Canadian Press, identified three major drug treaties that Canada would contravene if Trudeau legalized marijuana. “All three require the criminalization of possession and production of cannabis.… As part of examining legalization of cannabis possession and production, Canada will need to explore how to inform the international community and will have to take the steps needed to adjust its obligations under these conventions.”

Trudeau may be popular, but when it comes to legalizing pot, selfies may not be sufficiently persuasive. Yes, there are legalization movements in Europe, as well as Latin and South America. Uruguay legalized marijuana and Mexico’s Supreme Court ruled in November 2015 that producing and consuming marijuana was a “human right.”

Five American states will hold referenda on cannabis legalization in 2016, potentially joining Alaska, Colorado, Oregon and Washington, where the drug is now permitted. But as a whole, the world’s governments are not warm to weed and depending on who gets into the Oval Office next year, Trudeau could get serious pushback on his plans.

For Trudeau, the question will be how much time he wants to devote to pot versus other priorities — and how much political capital he is willing to burn. He already has to contend with the provinces, whose governments hold differing views on the subject and who ultimately would be responsible for regulating the production, consumption and sale of cannabis. But the real question Canadians should ask themselves is: what’s the motive here? Is it to respect Canadians’ choices and protect children, as Trudeau claims, or is there something else at work?

If the goal is to stop throwing people in jail for possessing small amounts of marijuana, Ottawa doesn’t need to legalize it. Decriminalization would achieve this, effective immediately. In 2014, over 40,000 Canadians were arrested for simple marijuana possession, up from 4,000 in 2004. Decriminalizing possession would mean those users would not get a criminal record. Provinces would be free to issue tickets, if they choose, but pot use would not be normalized and the drug would not be easier to obtain — for kids or adults.

Legalization, however, changes the game. On a social level, legalization would fully destigmatize cannabis consumption, by putting it in the same category as tobacco and alcohol. Pot proponents will say that’s a good thing, especially when it comes to teens: since it is no longer “forbidden,” it might be less attractive and use among minors might decline. Opponents will disagree: young people will still see it as cool, perhaps even more so, because they think the person championing its legalization, Trudeau, is cool, too. (Hey, doesn’t he hang out on Google? And take kids to see Star Wars?)

But the major, undeniable impact of legalization is financial. Forget fines gleaned from decriminalization: the tax revenue from legal pot is the prize. To wit: in the first seven months of 2015, Colorado took in $70 million in marijuana sales taxes, nearly double what it made on alcohol. The amount far exceeded expectations, as well as taxes generated the previous year, when cannabis was officially legalized.

Why the uptick? Social acceptance. In the words of Tyler Henson, president of the Colorado Cannabis Chamber of Commerce, “I attribute it to … more and more people (being) comfortable with the legalization of marijuana.… They don’t see it as something that’s bad for them.” In other words, they’re using more — and that means more money for state and local coffers.

Trudeau can deny it all he wants, but saying that Ottawa expects only a “bit of revenue” from legalization that will be diverted into drug education and rehab is laughable. Ontario Premier Kathleen Wynne is already salivating over the prospect of the province’s liquor monopoly, the LCBO, becoming a giant dispensary.

Before long, the province’s newspapers could be stuffed with glossy inserts promoting the Bud of the Week — and shovelling the revenue towards Ontario’s $10-billion deficit.

All the pro-pot advocates who think Trudeau and Wynne are so progressive, should take a sober second look at their motives. If it was about people growing ganja on their balcony or smoking the occasional joint, they would decriminalize and stop there. They wouldn’t boost social acceptance of marijuana and they wouldn’t risk aggravating our international allies. But that wouldn’t bring in a red cent.
 

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