Ten years ago, no state had legalized marijuana. Now, more than a quarter of the US population lives in a legal marijuana state.
By German Lopez
Just 10 years ago, no state in the US had legalized marijuana for recreational purposes.
Today, marijuana is legal for recreational purposes in 11
states and Washington, DC — including Illinois and Michigan, which
legalized it in the past year. According to RAND drug policy expert Beau Kilmer, more than a quarter of the US population now lives in a state that allows marijuana for nonmedical purposes.
More is very likely coming: State legislatures,
particularly across the Northeast, are openly discussing legalization,
and several other states, such as Florida and Arizona, might expand by
ballot initiative.
The majority of Democratic presidential candidates have gotten behind legalization. And surveys have consistently found that most Americans support legalizing cannabis.
At the same time, even some advocates of legalization worry about how
legalization is playing out in the states — with concerns that a “Big
Marijuana” industry may be able to market pot irresponsibly, as tobacco,
alcohol, and opioid companies have. And while marijuana is nowhere as
risky as these other legal drugs, it still poses risks — notably, the possibility of addiction.
Still, the momentum appears to be on marijuana
legalization’s side, with states from New York to Florida to Arizona
considered potential candidates for legalization in the next few years.
Particularly as politicians and activists grow more critical of mass incarceration and the war on drugs,
the legalization of a drug not many see as very harmful, if harmful at
all, is widely perceived as an easy — and popular — place to start
reforming criminal justice and drug policies.
1) Where is marijuana legal?
In 2012, Colorado and Washington state became the first
states to vote to legalize marijuana for recreational purposes. Since
then, nine more states and Washington, DC, have followed.
The laws legalize marijuana for people 21 and older, much like alcohol (and some tobacco) laws.
They allow growing marijuana, with a limit on how many plants are allowed. There is also some variation in how much cannabis someone can legally possess, with visitors from outside the state facing stricter limits.
Vermont and DC don’t allow sales, meaning it’s still not
legal to buy and sell pot in either jurisdiction — though residents in
both places can legally grow it. And in DC, the allowance of “gifting”
has led to some vendors, in a legally dubious practice, selling products
like juices or decals that come with “gifts” of marijuana. (Not surprisingly, the juices and decals are very overpriced.)
In the 10 other states that have legalized, legal sales
are on their way or already underway. Even in these states, though,
local jurisdictions can decline to allow marijuana sales within their
borders.
Some places that have legalized have also made the change
effectively retroactive, erasing criminal records for past marijuana
offenses. In California,
for example, it’s possible to petition a court to get low-level
offenses eliminated from the record and high-level offenses downgraded.
In Illinois, the state government is automatically pardoning and expunging past offenses.
Meanwhile, Canada and Uruguay are the only countries to fully legalize marijuana. (The Netherlands, despite its reputation, has not fully legalized pot.)
2) What are the differences between legalization, decriminalization, and medical marijuana?
There is no set definition for any of these terms, and
different advocates and politicians will use some of them, particularly
legalization and decriminalization, interchangeably in a way that can be
very confusing.
But here’s a broad overview of what these three categories are generally taken to mean:
- Marijuana legalization: Legalization is generally taken to represent the removal of all government-enforced penalties for possessing and using marijuana. In most, but not all, cases, legalization also paves the way for the legal sales and home-growing of marijuana.
- Marijuana decriminalization: Decriminalization generally eliminates jail or prison time for limited possession of marijuana, but some other penalties remain in place, treating a minor marijuana offense more like a minor traffic violation. Those caught possessing or selling an amount within the decriminalized limits are still fined — usually no more than a few hundred dollars. States with stricter decriminalization laws can also attach some jail or prison time to possessing larger amounts of marijuana, sales, or trafficking.
- Medical marijuana: Medical legalization lets doctors recommend marijuana for a variety of conditions, from pain to nausea to inflammatory bowel disease to PTSD. A review of the evidence from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine found little evidence for pot’s ability to treat health conditions outside chronic pain, chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting, and patient-reported multiple sclerosis spasticity symptoms. But most states, relying largely on anecdotal evidence, have allowed medical marijuana for many other conditions. And in a few states, medical cannabis laws have been so lax that they may as well be full legalization.
These three categories don’t cover the full array of options for marijuana reform, with a 2015 report
by RAND listing a dozen alternatives to the standard prohibition of
pot. Among the possibilities: legalizing possession but not sales (as DC
and Vermont have done), putting state agencies in charge of sales (as some Canadian provinces are doing, and as some states do, successfully,
with alcohol), allowing only nonprofit organizations to sell pot, or
permitting only a handful of closely monitored for-profit companies to
take part.
So far, though, the states that have legalized marijuana
have generally allowed a for-profit industry, as is true for drugs like
tobacco and alcohol — what RAND called the “standard commercial model.”
The hope under this system is that the government will be able to tax
and regulate the industry to allow responsible use while discouraging
riskier behaviors.
But the US has a bad record of doing this with other drugs — allowing, for instance, drugmakers to irresponsibly market opioids for years and enable a major drug overdose crisis. So some experts, even those who favor legalization, prefer the alternative approaches to reform that RAND detailed.
3) What’s the case for marijuana legalization?
Supporters of legalization say prohibition has failed to
significantly reduce access to and use of marijuana, while wasting
billions of dollars and resulting in hundreds of thousands of racially
skewed arrests each year. Legalization, by comparison, would allow
people to use a relatively safe substance without the threat of arrest,
and let all levels of government raise new revenues from pot sales and
redirect resources to bigger needs.
A 2013 report
by the American Civil Liberties Union found that there are several
hundred thousand arrests for marijuana possession each year. These
arrests are hugely skewed by race: Black and white Americans use
marijuana at similar rates, but black people were 3.7 times more likely
to be arrested than white Americans for marijuana possession in 2010.
The arrests not only cost law enforcement time and money,
they also damage the government’s credibility. Former DC Police Chief
Cathy Lanier explained
in early 2015, ”All those arrests do is make people hate us. …
Marijuana smokers are not going to attack and kill a cop. They just want
to get a bag of chips and relax. Alcohol is a much bigger problem.”
At the same time, prohibition has failed to notably
reduce marijuana use. The war on drugs was originally intended to take
down the supply of illegal drugs, increase prices as a result, and make
drugs less affordable and generally less accessible. Those goals by and
large failed: The White House’s Office of National Drug Control Policy found that marijuana prices dropped and stabilized after the early 1990s, and several surveys show marijuana use rose and stabilized among youth in the same time period.
Meanwhile, drug prohibition has created a lucrative black
market for drug cartels and other criminal enterprises. Previous
studies from the Mexican Institute of Competitiveness and the RAND Corporation
suggested that marijuana at one point made up roughly 20 to 30 percent
of drug cartels’ revenue. Through legalization, criminal groups lose
much of that revenue, as sales transition to a legal market, crippling
resources these organizations use to carry out violent operations around
the world.
Federal legalization would also let the federal
government tax sales to fund new programs, including treatment for
people with drug use disorders. Previous estimates put this in the billions, if not tens of billions, of dollars for all levels of government — not nothing, but also not that much. (The federal budget for fiscal year 2019 was more than $4 trillion.)
More broadly, the legalization movement falls into a
broader shift against the harsh criminal justice policies that came out
of the war on drugs.
As Americans look for alternatives to punitive prison sentences that
turned the US into the world’s leader in incarceration, legalizing a
relatively safe drug seems like low-hanging fruit.
And, of course, some people just want to be able to toke up without the government getting in the way.
4) What’s the case against marijuana legalization?
Opponents of legalization worry that fully allowing
recreational marijuana use would make pot far too accessible and, as a
result, expand its use and misuse.
The major concern
is that letting for-profit businesses — “Big Marijuana” — market and
sell cannabis may lead them to market aggressively to heavy pot users,
who may have a drug problem.
This is similar to what’s happened in the
alcohol and tobacco industries, where companies make much of their
profits from users with serious addiction issues. Among alcohol users,
for instance, the top 10 percent of users consume, on average, more than 10 drinks each day.
Marijuana users exhibit similar patterns. In Colorado, a 2014 study
of the state’s marijuana market, conducted by the Marijuana Policy
Group for the state’s Department of Revenue, found the top 29.9 percent
heaviest pot users in Colorado made up 87.1 percent of demand for the
drug. For the marijuana industry, that makes the heaviest users the most
lucrative customers.
Marijuana doesn’t pose the same risks as, say, cocaine,
heroin, or even legal substances like alcohol.
But opponents of
legalization argue that heavy use can still signify addiction, which
means someone may really want to stop using pot but can’t despite
negative consequences — hurting his personal life, education, career,
and potentially health.
Kevin Sabet, head of Smart Approaches to Marijuana (SAM), the nation’s leading anti-legalization group, previously explained:
“If we were a country with a history of being able to promote
moderation in our consumer use of products, or promote responsible
corporate advertising or no advertising, or if we had a history of being
able to take taxes gained from a vice and redirect them into some
positive areas, I might be less concerned about what I see happening in
this country. But I think we have a horrible history of dealing with
these kinds of things.”
Drug policy experts say there are alternatives to
commercial legalization, like putting state governments in charge of
marijuana production and sales, which could tame the for-profit
incentive and give states more direct control over prices and who buys
pot.
But legalization opponents worry that any move toward
legalization will inevitably attract powerful for-profit forces,
especially since the marijuana industry has already taken off in several
states.
“The reality is there are myriad other forces at work here,”
Sabet said. “Chief among them are the very powerful forces of greed and
profit. When I look at how things are set up in states like Colorado,
where the marijuana industry gets a seat at the table for every state
decision on marijuana policy, it troubles me.”
Given these concerns, opponents favor more limited
reforms than legalization. Sabet, for example, said nonviolent marijuana
users shouldn’t be incarcerated for the drug. Other critics of legalization support legalizing marijuana for medical purposes but not recreational use.
It’s rare that opponents of legalization argue for the
full continuation of the current war on pot. SAM, for instance, broadly
agrees that current drug and criminal justice policies are far too
punitive and costly. But while they may support some reforms, they feel
that legalization simply goes too far — and could lead to worse
consequences than the alternatives.
5) Is marijuana bad for your health?
There are no documented deaths from a marijuana overdose, but that doesn’t mean pot is harmless.
”The main risk of cannabis is losing control of your cannabis intake,” Mark Kleiman, a drug policy expert who recently passed away,
previously told me. “That’s going to have consequences in terms of the
amount of time you spend not fully functional. When that’s hours per day
times years, that’s bad.”
Jon Caulkins, a drug policy expert at Carnegie Mellon
University, put it another way: “At some level, we know that spending
more than half of your waking hours intoxicated for years and years on
end is not increasing the likelihood that you’ll win a Pulitzer Prize or
discover the cure for cancer.”
The risk of misuse and addiction (known in medical circles as ”cannabis use disorder”)
is compounded by the widespread perception that pot is harmless: Since
many marijuana users believe what they’re doing won’t hurt them, they
feel much more comfortable falling into a habit of constantly using the
drug. In total, millions of people across the US report wanting to quit marijuana and being unable to despite negative consequences.
The most thorough review of the research yet, from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine,
found that pot poses a variety of other possible downsides — including
for respiratory problems if smoked, schizophrenia and psychosis, car
crashes, general social achievement in life, and potentially babies in
the womb.
But it doesn’t seem to cause some issues that are
typically linked to tobacco, particularly lung cancer and head and neck
cancers. The studies reviewed also suggest it carries several benefits,
particularly for chronic pain, multiple sclerosis, and
chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting. (There wasn’t enough research
to gauge if pot is truly good for some of the other ailments people say
it’s good for, such as epilepsy and irritable bowel syndrome.)
Critics of legalization claim that marijuana is a
“gateway drug” that can lead people to try more dangerous drugs like
cocaine and heroin, because there’s a correlation between pot use and
use of harder drugs. But researchers argue
that this correlation may just indicate that people prone to all sorts
of drug use only start with marijuana because it’s the cheapest and most
accessible of the illicit drugs. So if cocaine or heroin were cheaper
and more accessible, there’s a good chance people would start with those
drugs first.
Overall, marijuana is a relatively safe drug — certainly
less harmful than some of the drugs that are legal today, and
potentially beneficial to some people’s health through its medical use.
But it’s not harmless.
Given that marijuana’s harms appear to be relatively small, though, advocates argue
that even if legalization leads to more pot use, it’s worth the
benefits of reducing incarceration and crippling violent drug cartels
financed in part by revenue from illicit weed sales.
6) Is marijuana legalization popular?
It sure seems like it.
According to surveys from Gallup, support for legalization rose from 12 percent in 1969 to 31 percent in 2000 to 66 percent in 2018. A Civic Science poll and the General Social Survey found similar levels of support in recent years.
The Pew Research Center
found that support varies from generation to generation, although it
has been rising among all age groups over the past few years. As it
stands, more than two-thirds of millennials back legalizing marijuana,
while support is lower among older groups.
The change in public opinion is part of a broader
pushback against punitive criminal justice policies and the war on drugs
in general. A 2014 Pew survey
found 63 percent of Americans agree states should move away from harsh
mandatory minimum sentences for nonviolent drug crimes, and 67 percent
said drug policy should focus more on providing treatment over
prosecuting drug users.
The wider shift on all punitive drug policies
demonstrates that it’s not just that more Americans want the freedom to
use marijuana — a substance that more than six in 10, according to Pew,
acknowledge is safer for a person’s health and society than alcohol.
Instead, Americans are broadly fed up with drug and criminal justice
policies that have contributed to higher incarceration rates while doing
little to solve ongoing drug crises.
7) Is marijuana still illegal at the federal level?
Yes. Even as several states and Washington, DC, allow marijuana, the federal government still strictly prohibits pot.
Under the scheduling system, the federal government classifies
marijuana as a schedule 1 drug, meaning it’s perceived to have no
medical value and a high potential for abuse. That classification puts
marijuana in the same category as heroin and a more restrictive category
than schedule 2 drugs like cocaine and meth.
But that doesn’t mean the federal government views
marijuana and heroin as equally dangerous drugs or that it considers
marijuana to be more dangerous than meth or cocaine. Schedule 1 and 2
drugs are both described as having “a high potential for abuse” — a
vague description that doesn’t rank drugs in the two categories as equal
or different.
The big distinction between schedule 1 and 2 substances,
instead, is whether the federal government thinks a drug has medical
value. The DEA says schedule 2 substances have some medical value and
schedule 1 substances do not, so schedule 1 drugs receive more
regulatory scrutiny even though they may not be more dangerous.
There have been many calls to reschedule marijuana, but
they’ve run into a serious hurdle: To date, there have been no
large-scale clinical trials on marijuana. Those kinds of studies are
traditionally required to prove a drug has medical value to the federal
government. But these studies are also much more difficult to conduct
when a substance is strictly regulated by the federal government as a
schedule 1 drug. So pot is essentially trapped in a Catch-22: It likely
needs a large-scale clinical trial to be rescheduled, but those trials
are going to be much harder to conduct until it’s reclassified.
Congress can also pass legislation to reschedule
marijuana, which legalization advocates have been lobbying legislators
to do for decades.
Although the scheduling system helps shape criminal penalties
for illicit drug possession and sales, it’s not always the final word.
Penalties for marijuana are generally far more relaxed than other
schedule 1 drugs — perhaps an acknowledgment that the drug isn’t as much
of a risk as, for example, heroin.
Starting with the Obama administration, the federal
government has also taken a relaxed approach to marijuana legalization
at the state level, generally letting states do as they wish as long as
they met certain criteria (such as not letting legal pot fall into kids’
hands or cross state lines). The Trump administration suggested it would take a tougher line under Attorney General Jeff Sessions, but current Attorney General William Barr backed off the tougher approach and said he would more or less go back to the Obama-era policies.
Pot’s criminal classification at the federal level has other serious ramifications
for marijuana policy even in places where state law says the drug is
legal. Many state-legal marijuana businesses, for instance, must
function as cash-only enterprises,
since many banks are nervous about dealing with businesses that are
essentially breaking federal law. Businesses also can’t file for several
deductions, and, as a result, their effective income tax rates can soar
to as high as 90 percent or more.
One concern here is whether the federal government would
be in violation of international law if it legalized marijuana. A host
of international treaties explicitly ban the legalization of marijuana
sales for recreational purposes. As states have legalized, the US has
argued that it remains in good standing of these treaties by keeping pot
illegal at the federal level. But that would change if Congress and the
president legalized marijuana. (So far, Canada and Uruguay have generally dodged scrutiny over their violation of these treaties. But the US is a much bigger country than either.)
So even as states and voters back marijuana legalization, the federal government remains in the way.
8) How is marijuana legalization going in the states that have done it so far?
So far, it seems to be going fine. Then-Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper opposed legalization when it was on the ballot in his state, but he has since acknowledged that “the things I feared six years ago have not come to pass.”
Colorado, which has the oldest system for recreational marijuana sales, has seen a rise in adult use, but not in use among youth. Although there were concerns about drug-impaired car crashes, the evidence is mixed.
One concern that has consistently come up is the risk of marijuana edibles, which a recent study linked to a rapid increase in marijuana-related hospitalizations at a Colorado hospital after legalization. Because edibles take longer to take effect, and may lead the human body to absorb the psychoactive compounds of cannabis differently, they’re more likely to cause a marijuana overdose
— not a deadly event, but one that can make people act strange and
paranoid. The proliferation of edibles under legalization, then, may be
leading to more bad, unpleasant trips.
Critics of legalization also argue that edibles are
marketed irresponsibly, since they can take the form of child-friendly
snacks like gummy bears and cereals.
So since legalization, regulators have taken a tougher approach toward edibles — restricting them, requiring stronger packaging and labels, and even banning some of them.
The story is broadly similar in other states, with some
variation depending on state-specific circumstances. No big negative
stories have come out of legalization, at least yet.
That said, it’s worth cautioning that recreational
legalization is fairly young. The marijuana industry is still taking
form. Federal prohibition has made it hard for the industry to grow in a
big way, since they can’t very easily operate across state lines. How
this new industry, its marketing, and its influence over all levels of
government take shape in the next few years — and ultimately influence
people’s behaviors — remain very big questions for experts.
As Kleiman, who supported legalization, used to tell me,
“The bad risks are mostly long-term. We’re in the situation in which the
guy jumped off the Empire State Building, and as he passed the 42nd
floor somebody said, ‘How’s it going?’ And he said, ‘So far, so good!’”
9) Which states could legalize marijuana next?
Most of the states that have legalized to this point have
done so through ballot initiatives, but that’s changed in recent years
with state legislatures in Vermont and Illinois approving legalization.
So now there are two plausible paths to legalization.
On the state legislature side, the most serious conversations seem to be taking place in New York and New Jersey,
where governors have gotten strongly behind legalization but have so
far struggled to get bills through the legislatures. There’s also been
movement in Connecticut, Delaware, Rhode Island, and Vermont (to legalize sales), among other places.
Plus, there are some upcoming legalization ballot initiatives, potentially in Arizona, Florida, and North Dakota.
There could also be a few surprises. Who could have
predicted just five years ago that Michigan would legalize pot before
New York, New Jersey, and half the states in New England? It’s a weird
world — one where marijuana is increasingly legal.
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