David Jagielski
As we inch closer and closer to the day that marijuana becomes
legalized, provinces will have to work out the logistics of how the
industry will be governed. There are issues around impairment and
advertising, among many others, that still need to be sorted out before
legalization can occur.
Current drug-testing methods are not reliable
The Canadian Mental Health Association (CMHA) of Ontario recently
came out in support of strong restrictions on marijuana, including a
“zero tolerance” policy on driving under the influence.
The problem with
such a strong restriction on marijuana use is the difficulty in testing
for it accurately. Current drug tests can show marijuana in a person’s
system even days or weeks after the usage occurred.
Unless the province can obtain more accurate way of testing for
marijuana, proving someone is impaired while operating a vehicle will be
difficult, if not impossible. However, it is crucial that a reliable
test can be administered to test for impairment or else a law enforcing
it may be rendered useless.
The inevitable battle on advertising
The CMHA is also pushing for packing to be even more restrictive than
tobacco with plain packaging that will make it difficult for consumers
to easily be able to differentiate one brand from another.
This again is likely to be challenged by cannabis companies like Canopy Growth Corp.
(TSX:WEED)
that have spent a great deal of resources to acquire marijuana
producers, so the company can extend its reach. However, if the company
is unable to advertise on its own packaging or make its brand stand out
from others like Aphria Inc. (TSX:APH) or MedReleaf Corp.
(TSX:LEAF) then that will definitely be a big hurdle in obtaining strong market share in the industry.
Too much uncertainty still remains
The recommendations for cannabis regulation set out by the CMHA are
just that: recommendations.
The legislation put in place to govern the
industry remains to be seen, although provincial bodies will certainly
take input from the healthcare industry. Legislation of marijuana can
also vary from one province to another, and if there is no consistency,
that can also complicate matters for users and companies to keep track
of what is and isn’t legal from one province to the next.
How cannabis producers will be taxed and how much are also not small
considerations that are yet to be resolved. The amount of taxation is
going to ultimately impact the profitability of a company like Canopy
and the industry as a whole.
Bottom line
It may be best to wait on the sidelines while all of these issues get
sorted out, since legislation will have a big impact on how much the
industry can grow, and when. Some of the issues remaining are not small
and may take time to iron out, since healthcare providers will be at
odds with companies trying to turn profits. There is a lot of excitement
in the cannabis industry and how much it can grow, but that needs to be
tempered by a more careful analysis of the risks involved as well.
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